Objectives

(1) To update multi-media Hg models based on current knowledge and any new findings generated in WP 1-2-3 during the course of the project. (2) Improve the representation of inter-compartmental Hg exchange processes. (3) To model the complete Hg cycle from emissions to bioaccumulation on a regional scale for Europe and other selected areas (e.g. polar regions). (4) To determine the current level of Hg pollution in Europe and, in collaboration with WP6, determine the effectiveness of European and global emission reductions on Hg cycling and bioaccumulation in Europe based on emission scenarios developed in WP6.

Description of Work

Modelling will be done in collaboration with the project partners from the WPs 1-3 for red-ox reactions (CNRS and JSI), marine Hg chemistry (AMU), methylation reactions (CNRS), and bioaccumulation processes (IFREMER). The computational capacity and IT support for the ESRs model studies will be provided by HZG locally and via the German Climate Computing Centre (DKRZ). Datasets for model evaluation will be obtained from atmospheric long-term observations (HZG), aircraft campaigns (HZG), marine cruises (AMU), coastal sites (WP2 and 3) and observations from the Global Mercury Observation System (CNR-IIA) (collaboration with ESR14).

Task 5.1: ESR12 will use regional atmospheric and air-sea exchange modelling with WRF-Chem (CNR-IIA), COSMO-CMAQ (HZG), and MECOSMO (HZG) to improve Hg exchange processes, implement new red-ox schemes into atmospheric models and investigate the impact of ocean-atmosphere coupling on the regional Hg cycle. This work will be closely linked to ESR13, 14 and the global atmospheric modeling (ESR15, GESO-Chem Harvard, GLEMOS MSC-E). 

Task 5.2: ESR13 will investigate marine methylation and bioaccumulation using marine ecosystem and chemistry models (HZG) and determine the impact of policy scenarios from WP6 on MeHg concentration and accumulation in Europe. Mechanisms for marine Hg chemistry and bio-accumulation will be improved, global (GEOS-Chem, Harvard; GLEMOS, MSC-E) and regional (HZG) models will be updated and harmonized according to current knowledge.

Expected Results

ESR12

Updated Hg red-ox chemistry in regional models. Quantification of the impact of oceanic sources on observed Hg concentrations and on regional deposition patterns. Clarification to what extent reductions in anthropogenic Hg emissions will be visible in reduced atmospheric concentrations and depositions (2 papers).

ESR13

Improved regional ocean-ecosystem model which can be used to evaluate the impact of emission changes in the Hg burden in sea food (2 papers).

Deliverables

Del. Deliverable Title – Science deliverables WP Lead Type Diss. Due
D5.1 ESR12: 2 papers on (i) redox chemistry and air-sea exchange and in coupled 3D ocean-atmosphere models; (ii) impact of future emissions changes if Hg transport in Europe; additional co-authorship in papers submitted by the ESRs in WP1-3. 5, 1, 2, 3 CNR-IIA PDE PU M24, 46
D5.2 ESR13: 2 papers (i) model results and sensitivity of marine methylation processes; (ii) source receptor study for bio-accumulation of Hg in sea food 5,2 HZG PDE PU M24, 46
D15 PhD diplomas for 15 ESRs 1-6 All PDE PU M48

Milestones

No Title WP(s) Lead Benef. Due Date Means of Verification
4 New field observations on atmospheric Hg speciation 1, 5 UGA M20 Field survey completed and data quality validated, ESR1
5 New kinetic data for redox chemistry available 1, 5 JSI M42 Reactions verified and reported (ESR2)
12 New cruises and data on marine Hg speciation 2, 5 AMU M36 Cruises completed, data verified
13 New data on coastal Hg speciation 2, 5 UPPA M30 Measurements completed and validated
15 Long-term databases compiled 5, 6 HZG M20 Data availability (US, CNR-IIA, UGA, HZG)
20 Compilation of spatially-resolved terrestrial databases completed 3, 5 JSI M26 Data available at AMAP, UNEP, CNR-IIA, HZG. GEO
21 Revised regional and global 3D Hg model available 3, 5 HZG M32 Validation of models using new kinetic data and filed observations
22 Regional high-resolution model study on impact of red-ox chemistry 5, 1 HZG M44 Modelling and field data comparison for validation
23 Update of methylation processes in the marine model and bio-accumulation modelling 5 HZG M32 Modelling and field data comparison for validation
24 PhD thesis submitted 1-6 all M48 PhD thesis approved by (co)supervisors